Rapid changes in public perception toward a conservation initiative

Authors

Rebecca Niemiec, Colorado State University, Fort CollinsFollow
Richard E.W. Berl, Colorado State University - Fort Collins
Mireille Gonzalez, Colorado State University, Fort Collins
Tara L. Teel, Colorado State University - Fort CollinsFollow
Jonathan Salerno, Colorado State University, Fort Collins
Stewart Breck, USDA-ARS NWRCFollow
Cassiopeia Camara, Colorado State University, Fort Collins
Matthew Collins, Colorado State University - Fort Collins
Courtney Scholtz, Colorado State University
Dana Hoag, Colorado State University - Fort CollinsFollow
Kevin R. Crooks, Colorado State University - Fort CollinsFollow

ORCID IDs

Rebecca Niemiec https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7561-8951

Tara Teel https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1944-1864

Jonathan Salerno https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9402-6479

Date of this Version

2022

Citation

Conservation Science and Practice. 2022;4:e12632. https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.12632

Comments

U.S. government work

Abstract

Rapid, widespread changes in public perceptions and behaviors have the potential to influence conservation outcomes. However, few studies have documented whether and how such shifts occur throughout the span of a conservation initiative. We examined the 2020 ballot initiative to reintroduce wolves into Colorado, which passed with less support than prior surveys had estimated. We conducted a postelection survey of Colorado residents using the same methods as our preelection survey to compare responses between surveys and to official election results. Reported voting in favor of wolf reintroduction in the postelection survey decreased in comparison to voting intentions shared in the preelection survey, but not enough to reflect the actual vote. While bias from survey methods and/or sampling contributed to differences, we also found evidence that public perception changed. Specifically, beliefs about the potential for negative impacts of wolves increased, while beliefs about the potential for positive impacts of wolves decreased. Our findings highlight the need to conduct longitudinal monitoring of public perception given perceptions may be highly fluid as different entities attempt to sway voters. In addition, to better understand evolving perceptions, survey methods and sampling need to be improved.