U.S. Department of Commerce

 

Date of this Version

6-28-2017

Citation

USGCRP, 2017: Climate Science Special Report: A Sustained Assessment Activity of the U.S. Global Change Research Program [Wuebbles, D.J., D.W. Fahey, K.A. Hibbard, D.J. Dokken, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA, 669 pp.

Comments

U.S. government work.

Abstract

Fifth-Order Draft

Table of Contents

Front Matter

About This Report........................................................................................ 1

Guide to the Report......................................................................................4

Executive Summary ................................................................................... 12

Chapters

1. Our Globally Changing Climate .......................................................... 38

2. Physical Drivers of Climate Change ................................................... 98

3. Detection and Attribution of Climate Change .................................... 160

4. Climate Models, Scenarios, and Projections .................................... 186

5. Large-Scale Circulation and Climate Variability ................................ 228

6. Temperature Changes in the United States ...................................... 267

7. Precipitation Change in the United States ......................................... 301

8. Droughts, Floods, and Hydrology ......................................................... 336

9. Extreme Storms ....................................................................................... 375

10. Changes in Land Cover and Terrestrial Biogeochemistry ............ 405

11. Arctic Changes and their Effects on Alaska and the Rest of the United States..... 443

12. Sea Level Rise ....................................................................................... 493

13. Ocean Acidification and Other Ocean Changes .............................. 540

14. Perspectives on Climate Change Mitigation .................................... 584

15. Potential Surprises: Compound Extremes and Tipping Elements .......... 608

Appendices

A. Observational Datasets Used in Climate Studies ............................. 636

B. Weighting Strategy for the Fourth National Climate Assessment ................ 642

C. Detection and Attribution Methodologies Overview ............................ 652

D. Acronyms and Units ................................................................................. 664

E. Glossary ...................................................................................................... 669

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