Bureau of Business Research


Date of this Version



Business in Nebraska vol. 56, no. 660


Copyright 2001 by Bureau of Business Research, University of Nebraska.


Many believe that China's admission to the World Trade Organization (WTO) early next year will boost export opportunities for Midwestern agriculture. Analysts at the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) expect China's WTO membership to add $2 billion to the U.S. $50 billion agricultural export market by boosting exports ofgrain, oilseeds and oilseed products. and cotton by 2005.

Since 1995 when an eye-opening forecast predicted China would need 200 million metric tons (MMT) of imported grain annually by the year 2015, Midwest farmers have looked forward to helping feed China. Others have observed that China supports 22 percentoftheworld's population on just 9 percent of its arable land, implying that countries with more arable land than people, like the U.S., can expect more export opportunities. But, a review of China's long-term supply and demand for Nebraska's biggest agricultural exports is in order.

Long-Term Demand

Long-Term Supply