Long-Term Trends in Air Temperature Distribution and Extremes, Growing Degree-Days, and Spring and Fall Frosts for Climate Impact Assessments on Agricultural Practices in Nebraska

Authors

Kari E. Skaggs, University of Nebraska—Lincoln
Suat Irmak, University of Nebraska—LincolnFollow

Document Type

Article

Date of this Version

11-2012

Citation

Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology volume 51 (November 2012); DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-11-0146.1

Comments

Copyright 2012 American Meteorological Society

Abstract

Air temperature influences agricultural practices and production outcomes, making detailed quantifications of temperature changes necessary for potential positive and negative effects on agricultural management practices to be exploited or mitigated. Temperature trends of long-term data for five agricultural locations, ranging from the subhumid eastern to the semiarid western parts of Nebraska, were studied to determine local temperature changes and their potential effects on agricultural practices. The study quantified trends in annual and monthly average maximum and minimum air temperature (T_max and T_min), daily temperature range (DTR), total growing degree-days, extreme temperatures, growing-season dates and lengths, and temperature distributions for five heavily agricultural areas of Nebraska: Alliance, Central City, Culbertson, Fremont, and Hastings. July and August were the months with the greatest decreases in T_max for the central part of Nebraska—Culbertson, Hastings, and Central City. Alliance, Culbertson, and Fremont had year-round decreases in DTR. Central City and Hastings experienced growing-season decreases in DTR. Increases in growing-season length occurred at rates of 14.3, 16.7, and 11.9 days century^-1 for Alliance, Central City, and Fremont, respectively. At Hastings, moderately earlier last spring frost (LS) at a rate of 6.6 days century^-1 was offset by an earlier (2.7 days century^-1) first fall frost (FF), resulting in only a 3.8 days century^-1 longer growing season. There were only slight changes in LS and FF dates of around 2 days earlier and 1 day later per century, respectively, for Culbertson.