Great Plains Studies, Center for


Date of this Version

February 1992


Published in Great Plains Research 2:1 (February 1992), pp. 097-108. Copyright © 1992 The Center for Great Plains Studies, University of Nebraska-Lincoln. Used by permission.


The future economic and environmental changes in the communities of the Black Hills were examined through the use of the Delphi technique. The study utilized a panel of 80 experts on the wide range of land-use issues and conflicts in the Black Hills. The panel identified 14 future land-use conflict issues: mining, grazing, timbering, outdoor recreation, wilderness areas, tourism, legalized gambling, second home development, Native American claims, fire management, water management, landfills, traffic management, and the US Forest Service's policies of land-use management. The panel predicted when certain events concerning those 14 issues would occur. Their predictions were then related to the economic and environmental vitality of Custer, Deadwood, Edgemont, Hot Springs, Newcastle, Rapid City, Spearfish, and Sturgis for the next 20 years.