Raccoon rabies control and elimination in the northeastern USA and southern Québec, Canada

Authors

Amy J. Davis, USDA National Wildlife Research CenterFollow
Marianne Gagnier, Ministère de l’Environnement, Québec City, QC
Ariane Massé, Ministère de l’Environnement, Québec City, QC
Kathleen M. Nelson, USDA APHIS Concord, NH
Jordona D. Kirby, USDA APHIS Concord, NH
Ryan Wallace, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA
Xiaoyue Ma, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA
Christine Fehlner-Gardiner, Centre of Expertise for Rabies, Ottawa
Richard B. Chipman, USDA APHIS, Concord, NHFollow
Amy Gilbert, USDA APHIS Wildlife ServicesFollow

Date of this Version

2023

Citation

Davis AJ et al (2023). Raccoon rabies control and elimination in the northeastern USA and southern Québec, Canada. Epidemiology and Infection 151, e62, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1017/ S095026882300047X

Comments

U.S. government work

Abstract

Rabies virus (RABV) is a deadly zoonosis that circulates in wild carnivore populations in North America. Intensive management within the USA and Canada has been conducted to control the spread of the raccoon (Procyon lotor) variant of RABV and work towards elimination. We examined RABV occurrence across the northeastern USA and southeastern Québec, Canada during 2008–2018 using a multi-method, dynamic occupancy model. Using a 10 km× 10 km grid overlaid on the landscape, we examined the probability that a grid cell was occupied with RABV and relationships with management activities (oral rabies vaccination (ORV) and trap-vaccinate-release efforts), habitat, neighbour effects and temporal trends. We compared raccoon RABV detection probabilities between different surveillance samples (e.g. animals that are strange acting, road-kill, public health samples). The management of RABV through ORV was found to be the greatest driver in reducing the occurrence of rabies on the landscape. Additionally, RABV occupancy declined further with increasing duration of ORV baiting programmes. Grid cells north of ORV management were at or near elimination (ψ_north = 0.00, S.E. = 0.15), managed areas had low RABV occupancy (ψ_managed = 0.20, S.E. = 0.29) and enzootic areas had the highest level of RABV occupancy (ψ_south = 0.83, S.E. = 0.06). These results provide evidence that past management actions have been being successful at the goals of reducing and controlling the raccoon variant of RABV. At a finer scale we also found that vaccine bait type and bait density impacted RABV occupancy. Detection probabilities varied; samples from strange acting animals and public health had the highest detection rates. Our results support the movement of the ORV zone south within the USA due to high elimination probabilities along the US border with Québec. Additional enhanced rabies surveillance is still needed to ensure elimination is maintained.