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AN ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF AGING POPULATION UPON LABOR MOBILITY IN THE UNITED STATES
Abstract
This study investigated the impact of aging population on labor mobility in the United States during the last two decades of the twentieth century. Considerable emphasis was placed on reaching the conclusion that population is aging, as a result of lower legal immigration allowances, and decline in mortality and fertility rates. The latter phenomenon, decline in fertility rates, was considered to be more significant than the other two and was attributed to socioeconomic factors including a rise in labor participation of women, as well as changes in household and family structures. The strategy for analysis consisted of the forward cohort-component procedure and was implemented to project the net labor mobility for the nine economic divisions, each with seven cohorts. The cohort technique measured the net mobility of every age group by retaining the identity of each cohort as it was carried forward through time, making appropriate adjustments for deaths, for every ten-year interval between 1980 and the year 2000. Among the nine divisions, the cohorts of the East South Central were the most inclined to reduce their net mobility, 86 percent, as they aged, while on the contrary, 86 percent of aging cohorts of the New England division enhanced their mobility. Between 57 and 71 percent of the cohorts of the remaining divisions endorsed the study's proposition that aging population loses its mobility desire as it ages. The extremely young and old groups were least inclined to enhance their mobility, while the younger cohorts of prime age category intensified theirs. As viewed from a national perspective, overall, 62 percent of the aging cohorts will reduce their mobility during the period 1980 to the year 2000. In general, the population of 25-34 years of age was anticipated to remain mobile, and the rest was expected to reduce its mobility as it grows older. The evidence that, in general, with the exception of the middle-age group, population is aging and will reduce its mobility desire might warrant the rise of a new phenomenon as well as a new phase in labor migration.
Subject Area
Economics
Recommended Citation
KARBASSIOON, EBRAHIM, "AN ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF AGING POPULATION UPON LABOR MOBILITY IN THE UNITED STATES" (1981). ETD collection for University of Nebraska-Lincoln. AAI8208356.
https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/dissertations/AAI8208356