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The impact of Arab-Israeli wars on Arab states' behavior toward the United States and the Soviet Union: 1965-1975

Ghassan Ezzat El-Eid, University of Nebraska - Lincoln

Abstract

This dissertation deals with the effects of the 1967 and 1973 Arab-Israeli wars on Arab behavior and foreign policy orientation toward the United States and the Soviet Union. I hypothesize that wars would result in a more conflictual Arab behavior toward the United States and a more cooperative behavior toward the Soviet Union. In order to test this hypothesis, I sought to utilize data from the conflict and Peace Data Bank (COPDAB). To a large extent, this study confirms the hypothesis. However, Arab response to wars has not been uniform. Syria and Egypt exhibited more anti-American behavior than did Jordan and Lebanon. An effort was made to analyze the underlying causes for variation in Arab response. To this end, I propose a conceptual framework which includes all probable determinants of foreign policy behavior in the four Arab states. Such variables include: (1) personal characteristics of leaders; (2) post-colonial experience; (3) societal composition; (4) economic resources; (5) military capability; (6) national role perception; (7) regime type; and (8) the decision-making process. An analysis of the aforementioned variables, as each relates to foreign policy behavior is offered. Obviously, such variables have different potency in each of the four states discussed in this research. For example, while the leader's personal characteristics are of the utmost importance in an unincorporated authoritarian system such as that of Egypt, they are somewhat less significant in a confessional political system such as Lebanon's, where societal variables predominate. By examining the above variables and the extent to which they affect foreign policy behavior, we are pointing to intervening factors that influence decisions and events which in turn are viewed as outputs.

Subject Area

International law|International relations

Recommended Citation

El-Eid, Ghassan Ezzat, "The impact of Arab-Israeli wars on Arab states' behavior toward the United States and the Soviet Union: 1965-1975" (1988). ETD collection for University of Nebraska-Lincoln. AAI8824925.
https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/dissertations/AAI8824925

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