Drought -- National Drought Mitigation Center

 

Authors

Will Pozzi, Vienna University of TechnologyFollow
Justin Sheffield, Princeton UniversityFollow
Robert Stefanski, World Meteorological Organization
Douglas Cripe, Group on Earth Observations Secretariat
Roger Pulwarty, National Integrated Drought Information System
Jürgen V. Vogt, Joint Research Centre
Richard R. Heim Jr., United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Climatic Data CenterFollow
Michael J. Brewer, United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Climatic Data CenterFollow
Mark Svoboda, United States National Drought Mitigation CenterFollow
Rogier Westerhoff, Deltares
Albert I. J. M. van Dijk, Australian National University
Benjamin Lloyd-Hughes, University of Reading
Florian Pappenberger, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Micha Werner, UNESCO-IHE and Deltares
Emanuel Dutra, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Fredrik Wetterhall, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Wolfgang Wagner, Vienna University of Technology
Siegfried Schubert, United States National Aeronautics and Space Administration, GSFC
Kingtse Mo, United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Margaret Nicholson, Australia Bureau of Agricultural and Economic Sciences
Lynette Bettio, Bureau of Meteorology
Liliana Nunez, Argentina Servicio Meteorologico Nacional
Rens van Beek, Universiteit Utrecht
Marc Bierkens, Universiteit Utrecht
Luis Gustavo Goncalves de Goncalves, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais
João Gerd Zell de Mattos, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais
Richard Lawford, Morgan State University

Document Type

Article

Date of this Version

6-2013

Citation

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (June 2013) 94(6): 776–785

doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00176.1

Comments

United States government work

Abstract

The need for a global drought early warning framework. Drought has had a significant impact on civilization throughout history in terms of reductions in agricultural productivity, potable water supply, and economic activity, and in extreme cases this has led to famine. Every continent has semiarid areas, which are especially vulnerable to drought. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has noted that average annual river runoff and water availability are projected to decrease by 10%–13% over some dry and semiarid regions in mid and low latitudes, increasing the frequency, intensity, and duration of drought, along with its associated impacts. The sheer magnitude of the problem demands efforts to reduce vulnerability to drought by moving away from the reactive, crisis management approach of the past toward a more proactive, risk management approach that is centered on reducing vulnerability to drought as much as possible while providing early warning of evolving drought conditions and possible impacts. Many countries, unfortunately, do not have adequate resources to provide early warning, but require outside support to provide the necessary early warning information for risk management. Furthermore, in an interconnected world, the need for information on a global scale is crucial for understanding the prospect of declines in agricultural productivity and associated impacts on food prices, food security, and potential for civil conflict.

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