Dynamic Simulation and Testing for Single-Equation Cointegrating and Stationary Autoregressive Distributed Lag Models

Authors

Soren Jordan, Auburn University
Andrew Q. Philips, University of Colorado Boulder

Date of this Version

12-2018

Document Type

Article

Citation

The R Journal (December 2018) 10(2); Editor: John Verzani

Comments

Copyright 2018, The R Foundation. Open access material. License: CC BY 4.0 International

Abstract

While autoregressive distributed lag models allow for extremely flexible dynamics, interpreting the substantive significance of complex lag structures remains difficult. In this paper we discuss dynamac (dynamic autoregressive and cointegrating models), an R package designed to assist users in estimating, dynamically simulating, and plotting the results of a variety of autoregressive distributed lag models. It also contains a number of post-estimation diagnostics, including a test for cointegration for when researchers are estimating the error-correction variant of the autoregressive distributed lag model.