Adaptive resource management and the value of information

Authors

Byron K. Williams, U.S. Geological Survey, Cooperative Research Units, RestonFollow
Mitchell J. Eaton, U.S. Geological Survey, Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, LaurelFollow
David R. Breininger, Innovative Health Applications

Document Type

Article

Date of this Version

2011

Citation

Ecological Modelling 222 (2011) 3429–3436

doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.07.003

Comments

U.S. government works are not subject to copyright.

Abstract

The value of information is a general and broadly applicable concept that has been used for several decades to aid in making decisions in the face of uncertainty. Yet there are relatively few examples of its use in ecology and natural resources management, and almost none that are framed in terms of the future impacts of management decisions. In this paper we discuss the value of information in a context of adaptive management, in which actions are taken sequentially over a timeframe and both future resource conditions and residual uncertainties about resource responses are taken into account. Our objective is to derive the value of reducing or eliminating uncertainty in adaptive decision making. We describe several measures of the value of information, with each based on management objectives that are appropriate for adaptive management. We highlight some mathematical properties of these measures, discuss their geometries, and illustrate them with an example in natural resources management. Accounting for the value of information can conditions through time.